commit b194493283ebb4313f51c1c0b4c771143a8b6e47 Author: wilheminarobe Date: Fri Sep 19 21:24:04 2025 +0800 Add 'Tech’s most Dubious Promises, from Bill Gates To Elon Musk' diff --git a/Tech%E2%80%99s-most-Dubious-Promises%2C-from-Bill-Gates-To-Elon-Musk.md b/Tech%E2%80%99s-most-Dubious-Promises%2C-from-Bill-Gates-To-Elon-Musk.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..f40305a --- /dev/null +++ b/Tech%E2%80%99s-most-Dubious-Promises%2C-from-Bill-Gates-To-Elon-Musk.md @@ -0,0 +1,9 @@ +
Last week, Elon Musk dashed off 125 characters announcing a remarkably bold plan to send Amtrak to an early grave. "Just obtained verbal govt approval for The Boring Company to build an underground NY-Phil-Balt-DC Hyperloop. NY-DC in 29 mins," he proclaimed in a tweet. Ricki Harris is Backchannel’s editorial fellow. Sign up to get Backchannel's weekly publication. Yet one thing about this specific moonshot appeared off. To begin with, "verbal government approval," as politicos noted, doesn’t actually exist. Receiving precise approval for a multibillion-dollar nationwide transportation system would require fairly just a few issues: a stamp of approval from the Department of Transportation, agreements from and between the local governments for all cities concerned, a plan for navigating laws, [best brain health supplement](https://myhomemypleasure.co.uk/wiki/index.php?title=The_Ultimate_Guide_To_Mind_Guard:_Enhance_Your_Brain_Health_And_Cognitive_Function) permits, and, last but not definitely not least, the money. We also needs to mention that-oh, yeah-Musk’s much-lauded hyperloop know-how doesn’t truly exist yet. But Musk’s declaration is just the newest too-good-to-be-true pledge from the tech world. Within the industry of innovation, unfulfilled guarantees have a protracted history.
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For many years, Silicon Valley has been imagining the longer term and pitching it to us because the definitive picture of tomorrow. Musk himself is liable for [brain booster supplement](https://icskorea.co.kr/bbs/board.php?bo_table=free&wr_id=410299) a variety of outlandish promises-like his plan to beat extinction [memory and focus supplement](https://myhomemypleasure.co.uk/wiki/index.php?title=Mind_Guard:_Enhancing_Brain_Health_And_Cognitive_Support) convey a million folks to Mars, or his discuss of a suborbital spaceship that, by 2020, will make most places on Earth no more than 25 minutes away. Yet these titans are remarkably quiet relating to part two of a sky-excessive promise: truly making it occur. In most industries, unachievable promises are a sign of dangerous leadership. But in tech, the place corporations are constructed on impossible concepts, unreasonable pledges are just a part of doing business. It’s even written into the Valley's unofficial motto: Fail fast, fail typically. But why do our greatest and brightest get away with overly optimistic claims that fail to materialize, time and time once more? To put this newest instance of hoopla into perspective, we’ve compiled a listing of the bold guarantees on which we’re still waiting for Silicon Valley to ship.
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Promise: Junk mail getting you down? Fear not. "Two years from now, spam might be solved," Bill Gates assured individuals at the World Economics Forum. Only one problem: He made that promise in 2004. On the time, Gates had just a few ideas for find out how to stamp out laptop-aided mass mailers: a puzzle that might only be solved by a human, a computational puzzle that only a computer sending a small number of emails might handle, or hitting spam senders with a charge. Reality: Go ahead, verify your inbox. Within the thirteen years since we have been promised a spam-free life, different services have stepped in and tried to make good the place Gates did not. Promise: In 2012, former Stanford pc science professor Sebastian Thrun assured the world that we have been overdue for the next schooling culling. After he attracted 100,000 students to his experimental on-line course at Stanford, Thrun left that publish to found the net education startup Udacity, where he sought to offer a cheap, excessive-high quality college schooling to anybody with an web connection.
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In 50 years, he instructed WIRED, there would be solely 10 establishments on this planet delivering higher training-and Udacity could be considered one of them. Say goodbye to college loans: MOOCs (Massive Online Open Courses) have been the longer term. Reality: MOOCs are still round, however they’re hardly dominating the upper training scene. The first drawback: MOOCs, which frequently associate with elite universities, rely heavily on the prestige of the identical institutions that their proponents declare are antiquated. The supposed MOOC revolution has additionally did not take into account the social advantages of attending school outside of your dwelling room. In 2015, the Daily Dot famous that only 15 % of enrolled college students accomplished their MOOC levels, and that nearly all of these enrolled already had college levels. Today, MOOCs are more commonly viewed as a supplement to a standard school training, fairly than a substitute. Promise: One 12 months after the Windows 95 craze, Oracle released the computer that was imagined to unseat Microsoft. The Network Computer was a simple, relatively cheap machine that saved data online, eliminating the need for a large hard drive. Oracle CEO Larry Ellison seen the no-frills Network Computer as the first step in driving down the associated fee and complexity of household computers. "We think these machines will dramatically outsell Windows in a short period of time," Ellison informed the Mercury News on the time. Reality: Four years and $175 million dollars later, Oracle referred to as it quits. From a business perspective, the NC was an indisputable product failure. But from an trade perspective, Ellison was onto one thing. As he predicted and as we now know, the market was eventually flooded with cheaper, easier computer systems that chipped away at Microsoft’s monopoly. Promise: In December of 2001, Dean Kamen unveiled his masterpiece-the Segway-a mode of transportation that the inventor assured us was the next step within the transit revolution.
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